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US Life Expectancy vs US Population Aged 65+

US Life Expectancy and US Population Aged 65+ correlate at r = +0.84 over 65 years (1960–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.56. Direction flips without the trend.

Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is 0.84, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes -0.56. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.

Pearson r
+0.84
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
65 (1960–2024)
95% confidence interval
0.76 to 0.90
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.56

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.