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US Resident Patent Applications vs US College Enrollment

US Resident Patent Applications and US College Enrollment correlate at r = +0.88 over 29 years (1980–2021), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.21. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to -0.21 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
+0.88
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
29 (1980–2021)
95% confidence interval
0.76 to 0.94
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.21

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.