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US Rural Population vs US Secondary School Enrollment
US Rural Population and US Secondary School Enrollment correlate at r = -0.65 over 35 years (1971–2022), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.42. Direction flips without the trend.
Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is -0.65, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes 0.42. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.
- Pearson r
- -0.65
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 35 (1971–2022)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.81 to -0.40
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- +0.42
Sources
- US Rural Population (% of total): World Bank. US Rural Population (World Bank indicator SP.RUR.TOTL.ZS).
- US Secondary School Enrollment (% gross): World Bank. US Secondary School Enrollment (World Bank indicator SE.SEC.ENRR).
Related pairs
- US Rural Population vs US Urban Population (r = -1.00)
- US Population vs US Rural Population (r = -0.97)
- US Adult Obesity vs US Rural Population (r = -0.95)
- US Median Age vs US Rural Population (r = -0.95)
- US Electricity Generation vs US Rural Population (r = -0.95)
- US Life Expectancy vs US Rural Population (r = -0.95)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.