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US Tax Revenue vs US College Enrollment

US Tax Revenue and US College Enrollment correlate at r = -0.37 over 38 years (1972–2022), p = 0.020. With the time trend removed, r = -0.50. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.020) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.50). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.37
p-value
0.020
Years compared (n)
38 (1972–2022)
95% confidence interval
-0.62 to -0.06
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.50

Sources

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