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London Average Temperature vs Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+)
London Average Temperature and Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) correlate at r = +0.44 over 66 years (1960–2025), p = 2.4e-4. With the time trend removed, r = -0.19. Likely spurious (shared time trend).
Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to -0.19 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.
- Pearson r
- +0.44
- p-value
- 2.4e-4
- Years compared (n)
- 66 (1960–2025)
- 95% confidence interval
- 0.22 to 0.61
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.19
Sources
- London Average Temperature (°C): Open-Meteo (ERA5). Annual mean 2m air temperature for London from the ERA5 reanalysis.
- Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (earthquakes per year): USGS. Annual worldwide count of magnitude 5+ earthquakes (USGS ComCat).
Related pairs
- US Annual Working Hours per Worker vs Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (r = -0.89)
- Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) vs US Infant Mortality (r = -0.82)
- US Fertility Rate vs Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (r = -0.80)
- Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) vs US Birth Rate (r = -0.77)
- Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) vs US Life Expectancy (r = +0.77)
- London Average Temperature vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.77)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.