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US Fertility Rate vs Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+)
US Fertility Rate and Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) correlate at r = -0.80 over 64 years (1960–2023), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.62. Holds up after detrending.
Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.62). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.
- Pearson r
- -0.80
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 64 (1960–2023)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.88 to -0.69
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.62
Sources
- US Fertility Rate (children per woman): Our World in Data. US Fertility Rate (Our World in Data: Total fertility rate).
- Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (earthquakes per year): USGS. Annual worldwide count of magnitude 5+ earthquakes (USGS ComCat).
Related pairs
- US Fertility Rate vs US Birth Rate (r = +0.91)
- US Fertility Rate vs US R&D Expenditure (r = -0.89)
- US Annual Working Hours per Worker vs Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (r = -0.89)
- US Fertility Rate vs US Annual Working Hours per Worker (r = +0.87)
- US Dollar to British Pound vs US Fertility Rate (r = -0.86)
- US Fertility Rate vs US Wind Power Generation (r = -0.86)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.