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New York Average Temperature vs Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+)
New York Average Temperature and Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) correlate at r = +0.58 over 66 years (1960–2025), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.13. Likely spurious (shared time trend).
Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to 0.13 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.
- Pearson r
- +0.58
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 66 (1960–2025)
- 95% confidence interval
- 0.39 to 0.72
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- +0.13
Sources
- New York Average Temperature (°C): Open-Meteo (ERA5). Annual mean 2m air temperature for New York from the ERA5 reanalysis.
- Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (earthquakes per year): USGS. Annual worldwide count of magnitude 5+ earthquakes (USGS ComCat).
Related pairs
- US Annual Working Hours per Worker vs Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (r = -0.89)
- Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) vs US Infant Mortality (r = -0.82)
- US Fertility Rate vs Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (r = -0.80)
- Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) vs US Birth Rate (r = -0.77)
- Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) vs US Life Expectancy (r = +0.77)
- US Egg Consumption per Person vs Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (r = -0.75)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.