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New York Average Temperature vs US Imports

New York Average Temperature and US Imports correlate at r = +0.47 over 55 years (1970–2024), p = 2.7e-4. With the time trend removed, r = -0.20. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 2.7e-4) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.20). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.47
p-value
2.7e-4
Years compared (n)
55 (1970–2024)
95% confidence interval
0.24 to 0.66
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.20

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.