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Sydney Average Temperature vs Atmospheric Methane (global)

Sydney Average Temperature and Atmospheric Methane (global) correlate at r = +0.56 over 42 years (1984–2025), p = 1.2e-4. With the time trend removed, r = -0.22. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 1.2e-4) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.22). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.56
p-value
1.2e-4
Years compared (n)
42 (1984–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.31 to 0.74
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.22

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.