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Sydney Average Temperature vs Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+)

Sydney Average Temperature and Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) correlate at r = +0.36 over 66 years (1960–2025), p = 0.0031. With the time trend removed, r = -0.15. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.0031) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.15). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.36
p-value
0.0031
Years compared (n)
66 (1960–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.13 to 0.55
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.15

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.