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Tokyo Average Temperature vs Atmospheric Methane (global)

Tokyo Average Temperature and Atmospheric Methane (global) correlate at r = +0.86 over 42 years (1984–2025), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.56. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.56). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.86
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
42 (1984–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.75 to 0.92
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.56

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.