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US Dollar to Euro vs Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+)
US Dollar to Euro and Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+) correlate at r = -0.51 over 27 years (1999–2025), p = 0.0072. With the time trend removed, r = -0.59. Holds up after detrending.
Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.0072) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.59). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.
- Pearson r
- -0.51
- p-value
- 0.0072
- Years compared (n)
- 27 (1999–2025)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.74 to -0.16
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.59
Sources
- US Dollar to Euro (EUR per USD): Frankfurter (ECB). Annual mean US Dollar to Euro exchange rate (European Central Bank reference rates).
- Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+) (earthquakes per year): USGS. Annual worldwide count of magnitude 6+ earthquakes (USGS ComCat).
Related pairs
- US Dollar to Euro vs US Military Expenditure (r = -0.80)
- US Dollar to Euro vs US Urban Population (r = -0.79)
- US Dollar to Euro vs US Rural Population (r = +0.79)
- US Dollar to Euro vs US Imports (r = -0.72)
- US Dollar to Euro vs Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (r = -0.66)
- Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+) vs US Gross Savings (r = -0.66)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.