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US Dollar to Euro vs US Imports

US Dollar to Euro and US Imports correlate at r = -0.72 over 26 years (1999–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.72. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.72). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.72
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
26 (1999–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.86 to -0.45
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.72

Sources

Related pairs

Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.