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US Dollar to British Pound vs US Forest Area

US Dollar to British Pound and US Forest Area correlate at r = +0.49 over 25 years (1999–2023), p = 0.014. With the time trend removed, r = -0.58. Direction flips without the trend.

Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is 0.49, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes -0.58. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.

Pearson r
+0.49
p-value
0.014
Years compared (n)
25 (1999–2023)
95% confidence interval
0.11 to 0.74
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.58

Sources

Related pairs

Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.