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US Dollar to British Pound vs US Population

US Dollar to British Pound and US Population correlate at r = +0.71 over 27 years (1999–2025), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.38. Direction flips without the trend.

Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is 0.71, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes -0.38. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.

Pearson r
+0.71
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
27 (1999–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.45 to 0.86
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.38

Sources

Related pairs

Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.