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Atmospheric CO₂ (Mauna Loa) vs US CO₂ Emissions per Capita

Atmospheric CO₂ (Mauna Loa) and US CO₂ Emissions per Capita correlate at r = -0.43 over 66 years (1959–2024), p = 3.2e-4. With the time trend removed, r = -0.88. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 3.2e-4) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.88). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.43
p-value
3.2e-4
Years compared (n)
66 (1959–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.61 to -0.21
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.88

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.