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Global Temperature Anomaly vs US Youth Unemployment

Global Temperature Anomaly and US Youth Unemployment correlate at r = -0.38 over 35 years (1991–2025), p = 0.026. With the time trend removed, r = -0.37. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.026) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.37). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.38
p-value
0.026
Years compared (n)
35 (1991–2025)
95% confidence interval
-0.63 to -0.05
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.37

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.