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Atmospheric Methane (global) vs US Annual Working Hours per Worker

Atmospheric Methane (global) and US Annual Working Hours per Worker correlate at r = -0.56 over 40 years (1984–2023), p = 1.9e-4. With the time trend removed, r = +0.44. Direction flips without the trend.

Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is -0.56, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes 0.44. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.

Pearson r
-0.56
p-value
1.9e-4
Years compared (n)
40 (1984–2023)
95% confidence interval
-0.74 to -0.30
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.44

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.