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Atmospheric Methane (global) vs US Military Expenditure

Atmospheric Methane (global) and US Military Expenditure correlate at r = -0.74 over 41 years (1984–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.47. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.47). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.74
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
41 (1984–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.86 to -0.57
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.47

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.