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Atmospheric Methane (global) vs US Net Migration

Atmospheric Methane (global) and US Net Migration correlate at r = +0.49 over 42 years (1984–2025), p = 0.0011. With the time trend removed, r = -0.28. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.0011) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.28). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.49
p-value
0.0011
Years compared (n)
42 (1984–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.22 to 0.69
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.28

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.