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Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) vs US Natural Gas Consumption
Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) and US Natural Gas Consumption correlate at r = -0.81 over 47 years (1979–2025), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.17. Likely spurious (shared time trend).
Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to 0.17 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.
- Pearson r
- -0.81
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 47 (1979–2025)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.89 to -0.68
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- +0.17
Sources
- Arctic Sea Ice Extent (September) (million km²): NSIDC. Mean Arctic sea ice extent in September, the yearly minimum (NSIDC Sea Ice Index).
- US Natural Gas Consumption (TWh): Our World in Data. US Natural Gas Consumption (Our World in Data: Gas).
Related pairs
- Atmospheric Methane (global) vs US Natural Gas Consumption (r = +0.98)
- US Natural Gas Consumption vs US Federal Debt Outstanding (r = +0.94)
- US Natural Gas Consumption vs US Wind Power Generation (r = +0.93)
- US Natural Gas Consumption vs US R&D Expenditure (r = +0.93)
- US Natural Gas Consumption vs US Renewable Energy Share (r = +0.92)
- US Natural Gas Consumption vs US GDP (current US$) (r = +0.92)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.