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US Air Passengers Carried vs US Youth Unemployment

US Air Passengers Carried and US Youth Unemployment correlate at r = -0.39 over 33 years (1991–2023), p = 0.023. With the time trend removed, r = -0.38. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.023) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.38). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.39
p-value
0.023
Years compared (n)
33 (1991–2023)
95% confidence interval
-0.65 to -0.06
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.38

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.