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US Alcohol Consumption vs US Adolescent Birth Rate
US Alcohol Consumption and US Adolescent Birth Rate correlate at r = -0.86 over 21 years (2000–2020), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.45. Direction flips without the trend.
Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is -0.86, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes 0.45. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.
- Pearson r
- -0.86
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 21 (2000–2020)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.94 to -0.68
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- +0.45
Sources
- US Alcohol Consumption (litres/person): Our World in Data. US Alcohol Consumption (Our World in Data: Alcohol consumption).
- US Adolescent Birth Rate (per 1,000 women 15–19): World Bank. US Adolescent Birth Rate (World Bank indicator SP.ADO.TFRT).
Related pairs
- Atmospheric CO₂ (Mauna Loa) vs US Adolescent Birth Rate (r = -0.95)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Cereal Yield (r = -0.95)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Forest Area (r = -0.94)
- US Alcohol Consumption vs US Median Age (r = +0.94)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Population (r = -0.94)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US GDP per Capita (r = -0.94)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.