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US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Cereal Yield

US Adolescent Birth Rate and US Cereal Yield correlate at r = -0.95 over 64 years (1961–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.41. Interpret with caution.

Verdict: Interpret with caution. Much of the apparent link is driven by a shared time trend: r falls from -0.95 to -0.41 once the trend is removed.

Pearson r
-0.95
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
64 (1961–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.97 to -0.91
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.41

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.