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US Annual CO₂ Emissions vs US Fertility Rate

US Annual CO₂ Emissions and US Fertility Rate correlate at r = -0.58 over 91 years (1933–2023), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.14. Interpret with caution.

Verdict: Interpret with caution. Much of the apparent link is driven by a shared time trend: r falls from -0.58 to -0.14 once the trend is removed.

Pearson r
-0.58
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
91 (1933–2023)
95% confidence interval
-0.70 to -0.42
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.14

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.