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US Annual CO₂ Emissions vs US GDP (current US$)
US Annual CO₂ Emissions and US GDP (current US$) correlate at r = +0.57 over 65 years (1960–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.79. Direction flips without the trend.
Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is 0.57, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes -0.79. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.
- Pearson r
- +0.57
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 65 (1960–2024)
- 95% confidence interval
- 0.38 to 0.72
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.79
Sources
- US Annual CO₂ Emissions (tonnes): Our World in Data. US Annual CO₂ Emissions (Our World in Data: Annual CO₂ emissions).
- US GDP (current US$) (USD): World Bank. US GDP (current US$) (World Bank indicator NY.GDP.MKTP.CD).
Related pairs
- US GDP (current US$) vs US GDP per Capita (r = +1.00)
- Atmospheric CO₂ (Mauna Loa) vs US GDP (current US$) (r = +0.98)
- Atmospheric Methane (global) vs US GDP (current US$) (r = +0.98)
- US Federal Debt Outstanding vs US GDP (current US$) (r = +0.97)
- US GDP (current US$) vs US Resident Patent Applications (r = +0.97)
- US Cereal Yield vs US GDP (current US$) (r = +0.96)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.