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US Electricity Generation vs US Cereal Yield

US Electricity Generation and US Cereal Yield correlate at r = +0.83 over 40 years (1985–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.23. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to -0.23 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
+0.83
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
40 (1985–2024)
95% confidence interval
0.70 to 0.91
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.23

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.