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US Fertility Rate vs US Adolescent Birth Rate
US Fertility Rate and US Adolescent Birth Rate correlate at r = +0.73 over 64 years (1960–2023), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.40. Holds up after detrending.
Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.40). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.
- Pearson r
- +0.73
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 64 (1960–2023)
- 95% confidence interval
- 0.59 to 0.83
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- +0.40
Sources
- US Fertility Rate (children per woman): Our World in Data. US Fertility Rate (Our World in Data: Total fertility rate).
- US Adolescent Birth Rate (per 1,000 women 15–19): World Bank. US Adolescent Birth Rate (World Bank indicator SP.ADO.TFRT).
Related pairs
- Atmospheric CO₂ (Mauna Loa) vs US Adolescent Birth Rate (r = -0.95)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Cereal Yield (r = -0.95)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Forest Area (r = -0.94)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Population (r = -0.94)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US GDP per Capita (r = -0.94)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US GDP (current US$) (r = -0.94)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.