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US Natural Gas Consumption vs US Homicide Rate
US Natural Gas Consumption and US Homicide Rate correlate at r = -0.51 over 31 years (1990–2023), p = 0.0032. With the time trend removed, r = +0.55. Direction flips without the trend.
Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is -0.51, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes 0.55. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.
- Pearson r
- -0.51
- p-value
- 0.0032
- Years compared (n)
- 31 (1990–2023)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.73 to -0.19
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- +0.55
Sources
- US Natural Gas Consumption (TWh): Our World in Data. US Natural Gas Consumption (Our World in Data: Gas).
- US Homicide Rate (per 100,000 people): Our World in Data. US Homicide Rate (Our World in Data: Homicide rate per 100,000 population).
Related pairs
- Atmospheric Methane (global) vs US Natural Gas Consumption (r = +0.98)
- US Natural Gas Consumption vs US Federal Debt Outstanding (r = +0.94)
- US Homicide Rate vs US Rural Population (r = +0.94)
- US Homicide Rate vs US Urban Population (r = -0.94)
- US Natural Gas Consumption vs US Wind Power Generation (r = +0.93)
- US Natural Gas Consumption vs US R&D Expenditure (r = +0.93)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.