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US Marriage Rate vs US Federal Debt Outstanding
US Marriage Rate and US Federal Debt Outstanding correlate at r = -0.73 over 128 years (1886–2022), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.61. Holds up after detrending.
Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.61). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.
- Pearson r
- -0.73
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 128 (1886–2022)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.80 to -0.63
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.61
Sources
- US Marriage Rate (per 1,000 people): Our World in Data. US Marriage Rate (Our World in Data: Crude marriage rate).
- US Federal Debt Outstanding (USD): U.S. Treasury. Total US federal debt outstanding at the end of each fiscal year (U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data).
Related pairs
- US Renewable Energy Share vs US Federal Debt Outstanding (r = +0.99)
- US Wind Power Generation vs US Federal Debt Outstanding (r = +0.99)
- US Marriage Rate vs US Adult Obesity (r = -0.98)
- US Federal Debt Outstanding vs US GDP (current US$) (r = +0.97)
- US Marriage Rate vs US Resident Patent Applications (r = -0.95)
- US Federal Debt Outstanding vs US GDP per Capita (r = +0.95)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.