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US Oil Consumption vs US Adolescent Birth Rate

US Oil Consumption and US Adolescent Birth Rate correlate at r = -0.53 over 60 years (1965–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.20. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.20). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.53
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
60 (1965–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.69 to -0.32
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.20

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.