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US Oil Consumption vs US GDP (current US$)

US Oil Consumption and US GDP (current US$) correlate at r = +0.51 over 61 years (1965–2025), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.47. Direction flips without the trend.

Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is 0.51, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes -0.47. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.

Pearson r
+0.51
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
61 (1965–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.29 to 0.67
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.47

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.