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US Oil Consumption vs US Military Expenditure

US Oil Consumption and US Military Expenditure correlate at r = -0.84 over 60 years (1965–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.73. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.73). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.84
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
60 (1965–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.90 to -0.75
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.73

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.