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US Oil Consumption vs US Net Migration

US Oil Consumption and US Net Migration correlate at r = +0.54 over 61 years (1965–2025), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.14. Interpret with caution.

Verdict: Interpret with caution. Much of the apparent link is driven by a shared time trend: r falls from 0.54 to 0.14 once the trend is removed.

Pearson r
+0.54
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
61 (1965–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.33 to 0.70
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.14

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.