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US Annual Working Hours per Worker vs US Cereal Yield

US Annual Working Hours per Worker and US Cereal Yield correlate at r = -0.76 over 63 years (1961–2023), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.25. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to 0.25 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
-0.76
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
63 (1961–2023)
95% confidence interval
-0.85 to -0.63
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.25

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.