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Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) vs US Gross Savings

Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) and US Gross Savings correlate at r = -0.57 over 55 years (1970–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = -0.40. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.40). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.57
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
55 (1970–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.72 to -0.36
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.40

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.