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Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) vs US Tax Revenue
Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) and US Tax Revenue correlate at r = -0.51 over 53 years (1972–2024), p = 1.1e-4. With the time trend removed, r = -0.45. Holds up after detrending.
Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 1.1e-4) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.45). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.
- Pearson r
- -0.51
- p-value
- 1.1e-4
- Years compared (n)
- 53 (1972–2024)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.68 to -0.27
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.45
Sources
- Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (earthquakes per year): USGS. Annual worldwide count of magnitude 5+ earthquakes (USGS ComCat).
- US Tax Revenue (% of GDP): World Bank. US Tax Revenue (World Bank indicator GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS).
Related pairs
- US Annual Working Hours per Worker vs Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (r = -0.89)
- Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) vs US Infant Mortality (r = -0.82)
- US Fertility Rate vs Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (r = -0.80)
- Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) vs US Birth Rate (r = -0.77)
- Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) vs US Life Expectancy (r = +0.77)
- US Egg Consumption per Person vs Worldwide Major Earthquakes (M5+) (r = -0.75)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.