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Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+) vs US Cereal Yield

Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+) and US Cereal Yield correlate at r = +0.34 over 64 years (1961–2024), p = 0.0059. With the time trend removed, r = -0.12. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.0059) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.12). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.34
p-value
0.0059
Years compared (n)
64 (1961–2024)
95% confidence interval
0.10 to 0.54
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.12

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.