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Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+) vs US GDP (current US$)

Worldwide Strong Earthquakes (M6+) and US GDP (current US$) correlate at r = +0.28 over 66 years (1960–2025), p = 0.024. With the time trend removed, r = -0.26. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.024) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.26). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.28
p-value
0.024
Years compared (n)
66 (1960–2025)
95% confidence interval
0.04 to 0.49
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.26

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.