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US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Birth Rate
US Adolescent Birth Rate and US Birth Rate correlate at r = +0.92 over 65 years (1960–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.58. Holds up after detrending.
Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.58). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.
- Pearson r
- +0.92
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 65 (1960–2024)
- 95% confidence interval
- 0.88 to 0.95
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- +0.58
Sources
- US Adolescent Birth Rate (per 1,000 women 15–19): World Bank. US Adolescent Birth Rate (World Bank indicator SP.ADO.TFRT).
- US Birth Rate (per 1,000 people): World Bank. US Birth Rate (World Bank indicator SP.DYN.CBRT.IN).
Related pairs
- Atmospheric CO₂ (Mauna Loa) vs US Adolescent Birth Rate (r = -0.95)
- Atmospheric Methane (global) vs US Birth Rate (r = -0.95)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Cereal Yield (r = -0.95)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Forest Area (r = -0.94)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Population (r = -0.94)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US GDP per Capita (r = -0.94)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.