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US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US CO₂ Emissions per Capita

US Adolescent Birth Rate and US CO₂ Emissions per Capita correlate at r = +0.92 over 55 years (1970–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.57. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = < 0.0001) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.57). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.92
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
55 (1970–2024)
95% confidence interval
0.86 to 0.95
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.57

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.