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US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Death Rate
US Adolescent Birth Rate and US Death Rate correlate at r = +0.26 over 65 years (1960–2024), p = 0.036. With the time trend removed, r = -0.34. Direction flips without the trend.
Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is 0.26, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes -0.34. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.
- Pearson r
- +0.26
- p-value
- 0.036
- Years compared (n)
- 65 (1960–2024)
- 95% confidence interval
- 0.02 to 0.47
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- -0.34
Sources
- US Adolescent Birth Rate (per 1,000 women 15–19): World Bank. US Adolescent Birth Rate (World Bank indicator SP.ADO.TFRT).
- US Death Rate (per 1,000 people): World Bank. US Death Rate (World Bank indicator SP.DYN.CDRT.IN).
Related pairs
- Atmospheric CO₂ (Mauna Loa) vs US Adolescent Birth Rate (r = -0.95)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Cereal Yield (r = -0.95)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Forest Area (r = -0.94)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Population (r = -0.94)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US GDP per Capita (r = -0.94)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US GDP (current US$) (r = -0.94)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.