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US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Imports
US Adolescent Birth Rate and US Imports correlate at r = -0.76 over 55 years (1970–2024), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.35. Direction flips without the trend.
Verdict: Direction flips without the trend. The raw correlation is -0.76, but once each series' time trend is removed it becomes 0.35. The year-to-year movements run the opposite way to the long-run trends, so the headline number is misleading.
- Pearson r
- -0.76
- p-value
- < 0.0001
- Years compared (n)
- 55 (1970–2024)
- 95% confidence interval
- -0.85 to -0.62
- Correlation with the time trend removed
- +0.35
Sources
- US Adolescent Birth Rate (per 1,000 women 15–19): World Bank. US Adolescent Birth Rate (World Bank indicator SP.ADO.TFRT).
- US Imports (% of GDP): World Bank. US Imports (World Bank indicator NE.IMP.GNFS.ZS).
Related pairs
- US Imports vs US Life Expectancy (r = +0.95)
- Atmospheric CO₂ (Mauna Loa) vs US Adolescent Birth Rate (r = -0.95)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Cereal Yield (r = -0.95)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Forest Area (r = -0.94)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US Population (r = -0.94)
- US Adolescent Birth Rate vs US GDP per Capita (r = -0.94)
Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.