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US Agriculture Value Added vs US Cereal Yield

US Agriculture Value Added and US Cereal Yield correlate at r = -0.62 over 25 years (1997–2021), p = 0.0011. With the time trend removed, r = -0.14. Interpret with caution.

Verdict: Interpret with caution. Much of the apparent link is driven by a shared time trend: r falls from -0.62 to -0.14 once the trend is removed.

Pearson r
-0.62
p-value
0.0011
Years compared (n)
25 (1997–2021)
95% confidence interval
-0.81 to -0.29
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.14

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.