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US Cereal Yield vs US Death Rate

US Cereal Yield and US Death Rate correlate at r = -0.30 over 64 years (1961–2024), p = 0.015. With the time trend removed, r = +0.24. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.015) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.24). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.30
p-value
0.015
Years compared (n)
64 (1961–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.51 to -0.06
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.24

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.