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US Death Rate vs US Imports

US Death Rate and US Imports correlate at r = -0.42 over 55 years (1970–2024), p = 0.0016. With the time trend removed, r = -0.76. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.0016) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.76). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.42
p-value
0.0016
Years compared (n)
55 (1970–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.61 to -0.17
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.76

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.