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US Death Rate vs US Population

US Death Rate and US Population correlate at r = -0.39 over 65 years (1960–2024), p = 0.0013. With the time trend removed, r = -0.06. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.0013) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = -0.06). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
-0.39
p-value
0.0013
Years compared (n)
65 (1960–2024)
95% confidence interval
-0.58 to -0.16
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.06

Sources

Related pairs

Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.