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US Exports vs US Secondary School Enrollment

US Exports and US Secondary School Enrollment correlate at r = +0.58 over 35 years (1971–2022), p = 2.5e-4. With the time trend removed, r = -0.16. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to -0.16 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
+0.58
p-value
2.5e-4
Years compared (n)
35 (1971–2022)
95% confidence interval
0.31 to 0.77
Correlation with the time trend removed
-0.16

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.