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US Forest Area vs US Infant Mortality

US Forest Area and US Infant Mortality correlate at r = -0.92 over 34 years (1990–2023), p < 0.0001. With the time trend removed, r = +0.05. Likely spurious (shared time trend).

Verdict: Likely spurious (shared time trend). Both series mostly just trend over time. After removing that trend the correlation collapses to 0.05 — the relationship is probably coincidental, not causal.

Pearson r
-0.92
p-value
< 0.0001
Years compared (n)
34 (1990–2023)
95% confidence interval
-0.96 to -0.85
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.05

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.