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US Forest Area vs US Net Migration

US Forest Area and US Net Migration correlate at r = +0.40 over 34 years (1990–2023), p = 0.018. With the time trend removed, r = +0.52. Holds up after detrending.

Verdict: Holds up after detrending. Statistically significant (p = 0.018) and the association survives trend removal (detrended r = 0.52). Correlation still isn't causation, but this one isn't an obvious artifact.

Pearson r
+0.40
p-value
0.018
Years compared (n)
34 (1990–2023)
95% confidence interval
0.07 to 0.65
Correlation with the time trend removed
+0.52

Sources

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Correlation does not imply causation. How the verdict is worked out.